Putin bests Obama — and that’s good! Also, Reddit helps catch more New York Times propaganda
American exceptionalism takes another hit, as does the credibility of the Times’ foreign coverage
The argument has been made several times in this space that President Obama is as a flyweight in the ring with a counterpuncher such as Vladimir Putin. This is no longer a question of argument or a columnist’s point of view. In the past few days we have the spectacle of Obama effectively surrendering to his Russian counterpart on the Ukraine crisis. Confirming this interpretation of Obama’s new position, announced last weekend, Putin appears to have since allowed himself a modest victory dance.
No, once again, I am not a Russophile. Yes, once again, an American failure in Ukraine will do all concerned a power of good.
This latest turn began last week, when the provisional government in Kiev launched an “anti-terrorist campaign” intended to suppress dissent and pro-Russian sentiment in the eastern portions of the country. It was less than a day before the operation looked like an outtake from “Car 54, Where Are You?”
Ukrainian army units and assorted “security forces” barely reach the city limits in the dozen or so towns and municipalities before they surrendered not only their weapons but also their tanks, personnel carriers and artillery, declaring they had no stomach for a mission against their own people. Read the New York Times account here. If the Times gives us an account such as this, bet on it there is no longer any way to disguise the provisionals’ weak-to-nonexistent hold on the imaginations of something between many and most Ukrainians.
With timing Secretary of State Kerry must have viewed as perverse, the Americans, Europeans, Russians and provos met in Geneva the next day to negotiate a deescalation. They did, but to little result. Pro-Russian forces commanding city halls across the east, saying they signed no such agreement, paid no attention. Washington and Kiev accused Russia of doing too little to call off those in revolt. This may be so, given we cannot tell the extent of Russia’s influence. But it cannot be that most citizens of eastern Ukraine were sleepwalkers awaiting their awakening at the hands of Russian infiltrators.
You will never hear, inversely, about Kiev’s obligation to disarm the thugs who put the provisionals in power because the far-right militants of Right Sektor and Svoboda are what keep the provisionals in power. There was a shootout at a checkpoint in eastern Ukraine last weekend, you may have read. Again, we do not know who did it, but damn it if I can find an explanation more credible than the charge that a Right Sektor militia was responsible.
This was the picture at the weekend, when the Obama people took an extraordinary step. An emanation from the president and his national security folk announced that the new line is simply not to bother with Putin anymore. In the Times account, here, the president’s new focus is on “trying to minimize the disruption Mr. Putin can cause,” “limiting Russia’s expansionist ambitions” and “effectively making it a pariah state.”>
All this is cast as position-of-strength stuff — a powerful man who cannot be bothered with a tin-pot no-account not worth the effort. And there is your clue, the overdrawn pose. (Ukraine is nothing if not a long-running shadow play, you have to agree.) In my reading, Obama has lapsed into a pout. Having had his ears boxed in every encounter with Putin, he seems to have found it feels good when he stops. My upsum: Obama has surrendered all effort to do anything imaginative in the era we call “post-Cold War,” declared this era over, and proceeded to open Cold War II, which the American defense and intelligence communities have hankered after all along.
If this kind of thing passes for smart policy, then my thought that a new century makes new demands on us has been off base from the start. The comfort of the familiar is a famous trope for the uncertain — the child of an alcoholic marrying an alcoholic, and so on — but one wanted to think our leaders, especially Obama, with his claim to superior intelligence, were somewhat beyond this kind of neurosis. It seems not.
I was adjusting to the thought that it is best if our president takes his ball and goes home, even if this means another generation of wasteful tension with the Russians. And what then, but Vice President Biden reappears in the larger theater of this crisis. Joe spent two days in Kiev earlier this week. There is a timing question here.
Less than two weeks ago, CIA director John Brennan went to Kiev, and the provisionals launched their “anti-terror” campaign immediately afterward. Biden arrived Monday and departed Tuesday evening. On Wednesday morning the provisionals announced they will now take another run at the eastern dissidents. You do the math.